Russian bases near Finland, sabotage across Europe and NATO airspace violations suggest Putin may test the alliance's resolve this winter, not just its army.
President Lukashenko signs away his general staff. We analyze the new Union State doctrine that subordinates Minsk's military to the Kremlin, extending Russia's frontline to the Polish border.
With Sweden and Finland in the alliance, Russia's Kaliningrad exclave transforms from a menacing A2/AD bubble into a vulnerable strategic hostage. We analyze the new military calculus of the Baltic Sea and the Suwalki Gap.